US
US Stock Market
Topic
81.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 36
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Rising interest rates in Japan may lead to fewer institutional buyers in the US stock market due to the yen carry trade becoming more expensive.
"And so, we had a lot of institutions being buyers because they could borrow money so cheap from Japa..."
Dec 24, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the market will trade upwards from its current position on Monday, October 27, 2025.
"what probably will happen is we will trade up from here."
Oct 27, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the market reaction to the expected rate cuts on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, will be a 'sell the news' event, causing prices to drop.
"I think what's going to happen is going to be the exact same thing that happened on FOMC last month ..."
Oct 27, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that if the market pushes significantly higher before Wednesday, October 29, 2025 (FOMC day), then a specific market gap will be filled during the 'sell the news' event on that day.
"If we push significantly higher, then this gap is going to be the gap that gets filled on the sell t..."
Oct 27, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the market's downward movement after the rate cuts on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, will be short-lived, followed by an upward movement.
"But I think that push down is going to be very short-lived. I think we're going to come down, sweep ..."
Oct 27, 2025
Incorrect
The average yearly return of the US stock market is predicted to be 8%.
"8% which is the average yearly return of the entire US stock market."
Oct 5, 2025
Incorrect
US stocks are at all-time highs, which is unusual given typical patterns where unemployment lags falling stock markets during crises.
"Stocks are basically at all-time highs. Unemployment typically lags falling stock markets in crisis."
Sep 12, 2025
Correct
Expected interest rate cuts are predicted to benefit risk assets like stocks and Bitcoin.
"Rate cuts support risk assets. Stocks and Bitcoin are well placed."
Sep 12, 2025
Correct
The stock market is already anticipating a reduction in interest rates.
"And Wall Street, the stock market's already betting on it."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
BlackRock recommends investing in the US stock market over the bond market.
"Black Rockck says that the United States stock market is still the place to be invested, not the bon..."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
The US stock market, particularly S&P 500 revenue, is highly reliant on China, significantly more so than US exports to China.
"just how reliant the US stock market is on China with exponentially more revenue from the S&P 500 co..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
Major US stock indices, primarily composed of tech stocks, are largely unaffected by Trump's tariffs due to their limited reliance on physical goods imported from China.
"upon closer inspection however you realize that the major stock market indices such as the S&P 500 c..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
The US stock market fell by approximately 20% in 2022.
"2022 markets crashed this was one of the worst days in the market since 2022 in 2022 the stock marke..."
Mar 11, 2025
Pending
2020 saw the fastest stock market crash in history, surpassing even the Great Depression and Great Recession.
"in 20120 we saw the fastest stock market crash in the history of time it was the fastest stock marke..."
Mar 11, 2025
Pending
The stock market experienced both its fastest sell-off and fastest boom in history within months of each other.
"we saw the fastest stock market sell off in the history of time and the fastest stock market boom in..."
Mar 11, 2025
Pending
Investments requiring funds within 3-5 years should not be in the stock market, as this timeframe is insufficient for recovery from potential crashes.
"if you need your money over the next 3 to 5 years it's probably a good idea not to have it invested ..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
The Wall Street Journal has highlighted risks in AI-driven markets, drawing parallels to Cisco in the early 2000s.
"even the Wall Street Journal talked about the risks of today's markets fueled by artificial intellig..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
The S&P 500 has historically delivered positive returns over 20-year holding periods.
"over a 20-year holding period the S&P 500 has never once produced a negative result"
Feb 28, 2025
Pending
Slowing revenue and growth for major tech companies, potentially due to overexcitement about AI, may lead to market normalization.
"revenue is slowing down growth might begin to level off over these next few years and that means may..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
Consistent buying and holding is identified as the most effective investment strategy, even during market downturns.
"study after study shows that the best strategy you could Implement is simply to keep buying in as us..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
The S&P 500's performance is heavily reliant on its top seven companies, a concentration not seen since the dot-com bubble era.
"only 28% of stocks within the S&P 500 are actually beating the index meaning the vast majority of pr..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
Historically, market drops have not impacted long-term profitability, and maintaining a 3-6 month emergency fund is advised.
"over time those drops made no difference whatsoever that's why if you want the highest chance of com..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
Diversification across sectors is crucial to mitigate risks, as demonstrated by past significant losses in tech stocks and cryptocurrency.
"second diversify your Investments throughout as many different sectors as possible just like tech st..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
The stock market has reacted negatively to tariffs and uncertainty, leading to price sell-offs.
"this is why so far the stock market's reacted pretty negatively to tariffs or really any uncertainty..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
The US stock market is predicted to experience another crash.
"our stock market will see another market crash"
Jan 20, 2025
Pending
Between 2019 and 2024, the stock market grew by approximately 80%, significantly outpacing the 20% rise in median income.
"between 2019 to 2024 those 5 years we saw the median income in America Rise by around 20% while the ..."
Jan 13, 2025
Pending
The future performance of the stock market is unpredictable, with potential for both significant growth and a crash.
"we don't know if the stock market is going to Boom or if it's going to crash"
Dec 27, 2024
Pending
Despite short-term fluctuations, the stock market has experienced consistent growth over long periods.
"markets go up and down yet the stock market has boomed year after year after year decade after decad..."
Dec 27, 2024
Pending
Author is more optimistic about the future performance of the US stock market compared to international markets, implying it will outperform.
"but I personally am more bullish on the US Stock Market than anywhere else"
Dec 23, 2024
Pending
The US stock market is expected to continue to offer significant volume, volatility, and trading opportunities.
"the US market has a tremendous amount of volume a a decent amount of volatility and therefore a lot ..."
Nov 12, 2024
Pending
A US debt default could cause the stock market to decline by as much as 45%.
"some economists predict that the stock market could decline by as much as 45%"
Nov 9, 2024
Pending
Monetary injections by major economies, even outside the US, tend to positively impact US asset prices, barring unexpected negative events.
"when big economies inject more money into their system even even if it's outside the US it has a rip..."
Sep 27, 2024
Pending
China's stimulus measures are expected to cause US stock prices to rise, following historical patterns of equity market boosts after major stimulus packages.
"stimulus packages AK money printers typically mean asset values go up means we're probably going to ..."
Sep 27, 2024
Pending
Overall market volatility is predicted to continue and increase closer to the US election.
"closer we get to the election we're we're going to continue to see some volatility there"
Sep 15, 2024
Pending
The S&P 500 has historically averaged over a 10% annual return over the past 70 years.
"The S&P 500 has averaged more than a 10% return over the last 70 or so years."
Sep 7, 2024
Pending
When considering median returns (which accounts for compounding), Republican presidents have a slightly higher average stock market return (10.2%) compared to Democratic presidents (8.9%).
"Republicans have a median 10.2% return compared to Democrats 8.9% return"
Jul 31, 2024
Pending
Since 1957, Democratic presidents have overseen an average stock market return of 99.8%, significantly higher than the 6% average for Republican presidents.
"democratic presidents have seen an average 99.8% return compared to Republicans average 6% return"
Jul 31, 2024
Pending
Presidential election years have historically been the most profitable for the stock market, with an average annualized return of 11.6% over the last century.
"election years tend to be the most profitable as an example of this over the last 100 years the stoc..."
Jul 31, 2024
Pending
A divided Congress is historically beneficial for the stock market, as it prevents radical proposals and ensures more predictable economic conditions. The composition of the House and Senate has a greater impact on stock market returns than the president.
"historically a divided Congress is best for the the stock market since that means any radical propos..."
Jul 31, 2024
Pending
Midterm election years are associated with lower stock market returns (7.4%) compared to non-election years (14.8%) due to investor caution.
"investors are actually the most cautious around midterm elections with the market increasing just 7...."
Jul 31, 2024
Pending
Republican presidents historically achieved higher stock market returns when Congress was also Republican (11.7%) or divided (12.2%), compared to when Congress was Democrat (1%).
"Republican presidents received on average an 11.7% return with a republican congress 12.2% with the ..."
Jul 31, 2024
Pending
The stock market experienced its fastest rise in American history following the 2020 pandemic dip.
"then we saw the stock market rise at the fastest rate we've ever seen in American history"
Apr 30, 2024
Pending
Chinese economic news is predicted to cause fear and irrationality in the US stock market, potentially leading to a market correction.
"if anything though the Chinese news will cause some fear and irrationality in the stock market as a ..."
Mar 14, 2024
Pending
Rising interest rates and yields due to the US debt crisis could cause investors to shift investments from the stock market to the bond market for better returns.
"investors would want to shift their investments from stock market to the bond market because they ar..."
May 27, 2023
Pending
The sustainability of the current stock market rally remains uncertain, with the possibility of it being a temporary rise followed by a decline.
"only time is going to tell whether or not the current stock market rally is sustainable or if it's j..."
Jan 27, 2023
Pending
Michael Burry's tweet suggests a potential 30% further decline in the stock market, drawing parallels to the 2001 dot-com bubble's rebound before its crash.
"Michael burry on the other hand posted a rather ominous tweet of the 2001.com bubble showing that th..."
Jan 27, 2023
Pending
A stock market rally is possible by the end of the year if inflation data is lower than expected and the Federal Reserve raises rates by 50 basis points.
"if inflation comes in under expectations will the FED raises rates by 50 basis points then we could ..."
Dec 9, 2022
Pending
Prediction that the US stock market would decline two weeks before and two weeks after interest rate hikes, with a recovery expected around the six-month mark after the hikes.
"two weeks before interest rates went up the market would go down two weeks after the mark Market wou..."
Jun 1, 2022
Pending
Suggests that the period between May 4th and May 18th (2022) was a potentially good time to invest more heavily in the US stock market.
"if you're going to invest a little heavier it might be a good time to do so between May 4th and May ..."
Jun 1, 2022
Pending
Warns that a market rally following a 20%+ decline could be a 'false rally' lasting approximately two months before another downturn.
"what we could actually be seeing is not a recovery but a false rally and these happen after the mark..."
Jun 1, 2022
Pending